1最小二乘法-矩阵表达

数据集为线性回归 - 图1
线性回归 - 图2线性回归 - 图3
linear.png

最小二乘估计:

线性回归 - 图5

其中,线性回归 - 图6代入上式化简得:
线性回归 - 图7
此处,由于线性回归 - 图8线性回归 - 图9互为转置,同时又是一个数值,因此二者相等,即:
线性回归 - 图10
要求出使线性回归 - 图11取最小值的线性回归 - 图12,即:
线性回归 - 图13
此时需要线性回归 - 图14线性回归 - 图15求偏导,即:
线性回归 - 图16
得到:
线性回归 - 图17
线性回归 - 图18,称之为伪逆。因此,线性回归 - 图19

2最小二乘法-几何意义

首先要从线性代数第一节课的线性回归 - 图20谈起。
线性回归 - 图21
对于线性回归 - 图22,除了可以将其看作是包含线性回归 - 图23线性回归 - 图24线性回归 - 图25个变量的线性方程组,亦可以将其看作线性回归 - 图26的一个线性组合,线性回归 - 图27是其张成空间中的一个向量。
参考上述思路,线性回归 - 图28线性回归 - 图29可以看作线性回归 - 图30张成空间中的一个向量。
线性回归 - 图31
若要线性回归 - 图32最小,即线性回归 - 图33线性回归 - 图34的距离最小,则线性回归 - 图35线性回归 - 图36线性回归 - 图37张成空间中的投影,由线性回归 - 图38得到
线性回归 - 图39

geogebra-export.png
向量点乘:

  • 对于向量线性回归 - 图41二者点乘可以写成代数中的向量相乘线性回归 - 图42
  • 线性回归 - 图43

    3最小二乘法-概率视角

    最小二乘估计:

    损失函数:
    线性回归 - 图44
    估计系数:
    线性回归 - 图45
    求偏导得到解析解:
    线性回归 - 图46

    概率视角:

    由于真实数据总是存在各种噪声,因此,假设误差线性回归 - 图47,则线性回归 - 图48
    因此,线性回归 - 图49,其条件概率密度函数为:
    线性回归 - 图50
    最大似然估计(MLE)为:
    线性回归 - 图51
    则:
    线性回归 - 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    由此发现从高斯分布最大似然估计与最小二乘估计得到了相同的结果,二者殊归同途。
    因此,可以得出一个结论:线性回归 - 图53

    4正则化-岭回归

    为什么要正则化?
    最小二乘估计损失函数线性回归 - 图54线性回归 - 图55
    解析解:线性回归 - 图56
    其中,线性回归 - 图57线性回归 - 图58个样本,线性回归 - 图59个特征,线性回归 - 图60,通常线性回归 - 图61才好。但在实际问题中,经常出现样本数据过少,或数据特征过多的情况,即不满足线性回归 - 图62
    从数学上,对于矩阵有线性回归 - 图63,训练数据为线性回归 - 图64线性回归 - 图65。当线性回归 - 图66时,线性回归 - 图67,因此线性回归 - 图68不可逆,解析解无法得到。
    从常识上,用少量样本去学习多个特征,很容易导致过拟合。假设一种极端的情况,样本只有一个,则有无数种拟合方式,无论哪一种都会过拟合。
    过拟合:
    线性回归 - 图69
    1. 加数据:最简单的方式就是增加更多的样本数据,数据增强就是通过对原本训练样本进行某种变换,丰富样本数据。
    2. 特征选择-在原来特征中选择某些“表现”更好的特征;特征提取-从原来特征中“提取”出更好的特征,例如降维的结果就是得到一个更小的特征空间
    3. 正则化:在原来损失函数中,加上惩罚项
    正则化框架
    线性回归 - 图70
    其中,线性回归 - 图71线性回归 - 图72线性回归 - 图73线性回归 - 图74惩罚函数。
    正则化方式
    线性回归 - 图75正则化项,称为线性回归 - 图76线性回归 - 图77
    线性回归 - 图78正则化项,称为线性回归 - 图79,又称为权值衰减线性回归 - 图80
    对于加线性回归 - 图81正则化项的岭回归
    线性回归 - 图82
    目标:线性回归 - 图83
    求偏导得:线性回归 - 图84
    其中,线性回归 - 图85为半正定矩阵,当加上 线性回归 - 图86后必然正定,即可逆。从数学角度上看,使得其可逆;从直观角度来看,抑制了过拟合的可能性。

    5正则化-岭回归-概率视角

    岭回归线性回归 - 图87
    线性回归 - 图88
    结果:
    线性回归 - 图89
    线性回归
    Linear regression.png
    线性回归 - 图91,误差满足高斯分布线性回归 - 图92线性回归 - 图93,其条件概率密度函数为:
    线性回归 - 图94

    贝叶斯视角:

    从贝叶斯的角度,假设参数线性回归 - 图95满足某种先验分布线性回归 - 图96。为了分析简便,对于线性回归,我们假设参数线性回归 - 图97满足高斯分布线性回归 - 图98。其概率密度函数为:
    线性回归 - 图99
    贝叶斯公式:
    **线性回归 - 图100

则:
线性回归 - 图101
使用最大后验估计线性回归 - 图102
线性回归 - 图103线性回归 - 图104
与岭回归比较:
线性回归 - 图105
线性回归 - 图106
线性回归 - 图107
线性回归 - 图108
在这里可以得出一个结论:线性回归 - 图109

小技巧
线性回归 - 图110
矩阵对矩阵/向量求导

可以参考:

  1. https://blog.csdn.net/xingzhe123456789000/article/details/107224247
  2. https://blog.csdn.net/xingzhe123456789000/article/details/107301677

常用公式:

  1. 线性回归 - 图111
  2. 线性回归 - 图112
  3. 线性回归 - 图113
  4. 线性回归 - 图114
  5. 线性回归 - 图115
  6. 线性回归 - 图116

逆求导